Daily Brief
Bitcoin Daily Brief -- 2026-07-18
Bitcoin is in a confirmed downtrend -- both moving averages and price agree on the direction.
Covers 2026-07-18 · data as of 2026-07-18 23:57 UTC
Strong Risk-Off
The regime is unchanged from yesterday's brief (Strong Risk-Off). No change is itself informative here -- the underlying trend-and-volatility read has been stable.
3 things that moved today
- Momentum (RSI). RSI moved +3.4 points to 55.0, still in the neutral range.
- Volatility shift. Volatility's one-year percentile rank moved down from 34th to 32th -- a modest shift in how turbulent price action has been.
- Price move. BTC moved up 1.4% versus the previous daily close (now $64,804).
What to watch
Price is below its 200-day moving average by 12.7% ($74,236) -- a widely watched long-term trend level.
No indicator is near an extreme reading right now -- the /bitcoin/regime/ page is the place to watch for the next shift.
Data as of 2026-07-18 23:57 UTC. General market information and research for educational purposes -- not personalized investment advice. Bitcoin is volatile and past patterns do not guarantee future results. See /methodology/ for data sources and rules.
Explore more: market regime, RSI, EMA, forecast scorecard, or browse the daily brief archive.