Bitcoin Decision Intelligence
See Bitcoin's risk before it shows up in the price.
Real market regime, volatility risk and (soon) probabilistic forecasts, explained in plain language -- with a transparent, tamper-evident track record.
Data as of 2026-07-19 22:57 UTC · live price $64,576
Market Regime
Strong Risk-Off
since 2026-05-26 · regime-v1.0 (rule-based)
7-Day Bullish Probability
Coming soon
The forecast archive is not live yet -- every forecast will be timestamped and hash-chained before any number is published here. See methodology.
Volatility Risk
Medium
31th percentile of 1y realized volatility
Model Confidence
Coming soon
No forecasting model is live on the public site yet -- this card activates once the forecast archive starts scoring predictions. See methodology.
What today's numbers mean
Bitcoin is in a confirmed downtrend -- both moving averages and price agree on the direction.
Explore the reasoning behind these numbers: the regime rules, the indicator library, or the full methodology. Every claim on this site traces back to real, live BTC/USDT market data -- the forecast scorecard for how we hold ourselves accountable.